How To Build a Recession-Resilient Real Estate Portfolio

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January 27, 2025
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The economy naturally fluctuates. Rising interest rates, inflation, and supply chain disruptions all signal that downturns are inevitable. Statistics show you will experience at least one recession in your lifetime. Is your portfolio recession-ready?

When that happens, hoping for the best or making rushed decisions under pressure rarely ends well. A recession is the perfect moment to step back, assess your investments, and focus on building a portfolio that can withstand market turbulence.

Real wealth isn’t built by avoiding risk — it’s about managing it. Recessions create rare opportunities for those prepared to seize them and are the perfect opportunity to reassess your investments and craft a portfolio to thrive in market conditions.

What Is a Recession?

 A futuristic city skyline with glowing financial graphs, laptops on a desk, and a rising trend line.

A recession happens when the economy takes a hit for at least two consecutive quarters — meaning the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) shrinks as businesses make fewer transactions. Sales dip, companies stop expanding and hiring freezes begin. Sometimes, layoffs start rolling in. It’s not just a headline — it affects everyday life.

When a recession is brewing, the real estate market feels the effects as prices soften, lending gets stricter, and sellers lose the upper hand in negotiations. The job market hits stagnation, with workers avoiding job hopping to increase job security as layoffs result. 

In severe cases, like the 2008 recession, home values tank, and homeowners who owe more than their property’s worth can face foreclosure. It’s a tough cycle — but it’s also one you can navigate with the right strategy.

How a Recession Impacts Financial Markets

 A cracked, dry landscape with a city skyline in the background and a declining stock market graph.

Markets get emotional. When whispers of recession hit, many investors panic. Stocks plummet because people rush to sell. Safer options like government bonds start looking more attractive. This shift can trigger a domino effect across industries. Real estate loses value as homeowners are forced to sell, and nonessential businesses struggle as consumer spending dries up.

But not everything takes a hit. Essentials like healthcare, groceries, and utilities often hold strong — sometimes even grow. The key is knowing where to place your bets. Recessions aren’t the end — they’re a reshuffle. If you’re prepared, they open doors to new opportunities. Building a diversified, resilient portfolio isn’t just smart — it’s necessary.

Building a Recession-Resilient Real Estate Portfolio

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Recessions aren’t avoidable — they’re part of the economic cycle. But here’s the good news — you don’t have to ride them out. You can build a real estate portfolio that weathers the storm and grows more potent because of it.

1. Focus on Cash Flow, Not Just Appreciation

When markets tighten, cash flow is king. You want properties that generate steady income, even when the economy slows. Look for assets in sectors that perform well during downturns — medical office buildings, industrial spaces, and essential services. These are needs, not luxuries, which keep demand high:

  • Raise rents were justified by market rates.
  • Add value with extras — pet fees, storage options, or paid amenities.
  • Keep properties well-maintained to avoid costly repairs down the road.

Cash flow isn’t just about survival; it’s the foundation for growth during uncertain times.

2. Keep Debt Low and Manage Risk Intelligently

Debt can magnify your returns — until the market shifts. In a recession, the goal is to stay liquid and flexible. This doesn’t mean avoiding debt altogether but managing it smartly:

  • Opt for conservative leverage — don’t stretch just because credit is cheap.
  • Refinance when rates are low, locking in better terms long-term.
  • Pay down existing debt to free up equity and reduce risk exposure.

Those with manageable debt will have the upper hand when things tighten up.

3. Diversify But With Purpose

Diversification isn’t about buying randomly — it’s about balance. The goal is to spread your investments across sectors that respond differently to economic changes. This keeps the portfolio stable:

  • Invest in medical, industrial, multifamily, and retail asset classes.
  • Look at markets with long-term growth trends, not just short-term gains.
  • Consider blending direct ownership with real estate investment trusts (REITs) or private equity funds.

Diversity reduces vulnerability. If one sector takes a hit, others keep you afloat.

4. Build Liquidity and Cut Underperformers

Liquidity gives you options — and options are priceless in a recession. Selling real estate isn’t as fast as trading stocks, so you need to stay ahead:

  • Sell off assets that aren’t performing before the market dips.
  • Keep enough cash or lines of credit available to act quickly on new opportunities.
  • Reinvest proceeds into recession-resistant assets.

When opportunities come knocking — and they will — liquidity lets you answer.

5. Play the Long Game

Recession-proofing is about mindset. Wealth isn’t built overnight, and the best portfolios thrive long-term. Every economic downturn creates buying opportunities for those prepared:

  • Stay patient and avoid reactionary decisions.
  • Focus on assets that appreciate over time and generate income consistently.
  • Trust the process — recessions come and go, but sound investments endure.

A resilient portfolio isn’t luck. It’s built through smart decisions, strategic diversification, and a focus on fundamentals. Recessions may shake the market, but with the right approach, your portfolio won’t just survive — it will thrive.

Best Real Estate Investments to Diversify Your Portfolio

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When the market becomes unpredictable, diversifying your real estate portfolio across recession-resistant asset classes is the best way to stay ahead. Not all properties are created equal — some stand strong regardless of economic shifts, while others take a hit. The key is knowing where to put your money. Here’s where I tell my clients to focus when building a portfolio that thrives in any market.

1. Medical Office Buildings (MOBs)

If there’s one thing people won’t cut back on — it’s their health. Medical office buildings are one of the most recession-resistant assets you can invest in. Whether the economy is booming or contracting, doctors, dentists, and healthcare providers still need spaces to operate.

  • Consistent demand: Healthcare doesn’t stop, meaning tenants are reliable.
  • Long-term leases: Medical tenants typically sign longer leases, offering steady, predictable cash flow.
  • Low vacancy rates: These buildings are rarely empty. The demand for healthcare services keeps spaces filled.

Owning MOBs means tapping into an essential, stable, and proven industry to outperform during economic downturns.

2. Industrial Properties

Industrial real estate has been booming, and for good reason. E-commerce, logistics, and manufacturing continue to expand, and this growth doesn’t slow even when recessions hit.

  • E-commerce growth: Online shopping increases demand for warehouses and distribution centers.
  • Supply chain resilience: Companies prioritize storage, production, and logistics even when consumer spending tightens.
  • Versatility: Industrial spaces can serve multiple purposes — from manufacturing to storage — making them adaptable to market needs.

Industrial properties give your portfolio strength and flexibility. It’s an asset that aligns with where the world is headed.

3. Multifamily Properties

People always need a place to live — plain and simple. Multifamily properties are a cornerstone of any diversified real estate portfolio because they provide steady rental income, even during recessions.

  • Housing demand: When buying homes becomes harder, renting spikes, driving demand for apartments and multifamily units.
  • Built-in cash flow: Multiple units mean multiple streams of income. Even if one tenant leaves, others continue to pay rent.
  • Tax benefits: Depreciation, deductions, and other incentives make multifamily properties a tax-efficient investment.

This isn’t just about cash flow — it’s about building long-term equity and capitalizing on consistent housing demand.

4. Retail Spaces (Essential Services)

Retail may feel risky, but not all retail is created equal. Strip malls, grocery-anchored centers, and essential service spaces tend to hold value — even when discretionary spending falls.

  • Essential tenants: Tenants like pharmacies, grocery stores, and convenience shops stay in demand no matter what.
  • Stable foot traffic: Locations serving daily needs attract consistent business.
  • Resilient revenue: Essential retail spaces often thrive even during economic slowdowns.

This sector lets you play defense by focusing on businesses that people rely on every day.

5. Veterinary Clinics

Veterinary clinics are one of the most overlooked yet recession-resistant real estate assets. Pet care is non-negotiable for most families — whether the economy is booming or slowing down. As pet ownership continues to rise, veterinary services remain in constant demand, making these clinics a smart and stable addition to your portfolio.

  • Essential service: Pet health isn’t a luxury — it’s a necessity. Veterinary clinics are indispensable in driving consistent traffic and revenue.
  • Long-term tenants: Veterinarians invest heavily in equipment and build strong local client bases, which keeps them in place for the long haul.
  • Growth in pet care: The pet industry has grown steadily year over year, showing no signs of slowing down, even during economic downturns.
  • Stable leases: Veterinary clinics typically sign long-term leases, providing predictable and reliable cash flow.

Investing in veterinary properties means tapping into a market that thrives on stability and emotional attachment, which drives long-term growth and resilience. This sector offers the same benefits as medical office buildings but with the added advantage of growth fueled by rising pet ownership.

Let’s Build Your Recession-Resilient Portfolio Together

I know what it takes to create stable, cash-flowing investments — even during economic downturns. With over 30 years of experience, I've built a $500 million commercial real estate empire from the ground up, completing billions in transactions across various asset classes. My focus has always been on creating stable, recession-resistant investments that provide consistent returns.

Here’s how I can help:

  • Access exclusive deals: Off-market, high-return investments you won’t find elsewhere.
  • Proven expertise: 28% historical internal rate of return (IRR) across all asset classes.
  • Hands-on management: My team handles everything from acquisition to growth.
  • Mentorship and education: Real estate knowledge and mindset coaching to set you up for success.

If you're ready to take control of your financial future and build a recession-resistant real estate portfolio, I invite you to join me. We can leverage my experience and resources to help you achieve your investment goals.

👉 Connect with me at benreinberg.com.

28% Historical IRR On All Asset Classes

Build Your Wealth With A Trusted and Experienced Partner

$500M

Real Estate Portfolio

28%

Historical IRR on All Asset Classes

30+

Years of experience

2.5x

Average Equity Multiple Paid to Investors

$500M

Real Estate Portfolio

28%

Historical IRR on All Asset Classes

30+

Years of experience

2.5x

Average Equity Multiple Paid to Investors

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